Modeling the productive potential of coffee trees in the Cerrado of Minas Gerais through hierarchical landscape analysis and remote sensing data

Authors

  • Jorge Eduardo Ferreira Cunha Universidade Federal de Uberlândia, Instituto de Ciências Agrárias, Monte Carmelo, MG, Brasil. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3679-6376
  • Mateus Duarte Segismundo Universidade Federal de Uberlândia, Instituto de Geografia, Geociências e Saúde Coletiva, Uberlândia, MG, Brasil. https://orcid.org/0009-0001-1289-406X
  • George Deroco Martins Universidade Federal de Uberlândia, Instituto de Geografia, Geociências e Saúde Coletiva, Monte Carmelo, MG, Brasil. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9738-7325
  • João Vitor Meza Bravo Universidade Federal de Uberlândia, Instituto de Geografia, Geociências e Saúde Coletiva, Uberlândia, MG, Brasil. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5457-3192

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25186/.v21i.2516

Abstract

Brazil stands out as the world’s largest producer and exporter of Arabica coffee, one of the world’s most important commodities, which plays a crucial role in the country’s economy. In this context, this study develops a model to classify the productive potential of coffee trees based on hierarchical landscape analysis and coffee plant metrics, applied to different farms in the Córrego Feio watershed, Patrocínio, Minas Gerais. We employed a model based on landscape metrics (slope, water flow, vegetation, and slope shape), inspired by Ross’s (1994) proposal for Environmental Fragility. Each variable was reclassified according to hierarchical levels from the literature and empirical observations of the area. The data were integrated to generate two products: Factor T, which represents the potential of the area based on static soil and relief variables, and Calculated Potential, which combines Factor T with the NDVI vegetation index for a dynamic assessment. The application of the model demonstrated a strong capacity to interpret the qualitative hierarchy of productive potential, supporting the delineation of differentiated management zones. The results indicated that productive potential is more strongly associated with soil and topographic factors than with the vegetation index. It is concluded that the proposed method is a valuable tool for precision agriculture, allowing the delineation of management zones for the application of inputs in a more efficient and sustainable manner, contributing to resource conservation and environmental protection.

Key words: Arabica coffee; environmental fragility; hierarchical analysis; vegetation index; watershed.

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Published

2026-09-30

How to Cite

CUNHA, Jorge Eduardo Ferreira; SEGISMUNDO, Mateus Duarte; MARTINS, George Deroco; BRAVO, João Vitor Meza. Modeling the productive potential of coffee trees in the Cerrado of Minas Gerais through hierarchical landscape analysis and remote sensing data. Coffee Science - ISSN 1984-3909, [S. l.], v. 21, p. e212516, 2026. DOI: 10.25186/.v21i.2516. Disponível em: https://coffeescience2.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/2516. Acesso em: 20 oct. 2026.